Five-year housing land supply position statement (as at 01 April 2024)
Calculating the five-year housing land supply requirement
The Council's approach to calculating the housing requirement, which the five-year housing land supply will be measured against, involves the following stages:
- determining the base housing requirement
- assessing the scale of any past underdelivery or overdelivery
- determining an appropriate housing supply buffer
- calculating the five-year housing land supply requirement
Determining the base housing requirement
The planning practice guidance (PPG) is clear that housing requirement figures identified in strategic housing policies should be used for calculating the five-year housing land supply where a plan was adopted in the last five years (see PPG paragraph 005 (opens new window)), otherwise the housing requirement will need to be measured against the area's local housing need (LHN), calculated using the 'standard method'.
The Council's strategic housing policies are included in the adopted development plan which comprises the Local Plan Part 1 (Core Strategy) (opens new window) and Local Plan Part 2 (opens new window). The Local Plan Part 2 is the most recently adopted plan (09 December 2021) and amends the Core Strategy housing target through Policy UCS3 (opens new window). This policy readjusted the overall housing requirement down to 5,303 dwellings (previously 7,140 dwellings) over the plan period (2013 to 2030), setting an annualised housing requirement (between 2019 to 2030) at 363 per year. For the purposes of this position statement, the base housing requirement is taken as 363 per year.
Assessing the scale of any past underdelivery or overdelivery
Paragraph 22 of the PPG (opens new window) states that any shortfall against a housing target in an adopted plan should be added to the plan's housing requirement over the next five years. Alternatively, where areas deliver more completions than required, the additional supply can be used to offset any shortfall against requirements from previous years.
Policy UCS3 (opens new window) sets the plan's housing target base date from April 2019, therefore delivery between the years 2019-2020, 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23 and 2023-24 needs to be considered to identify any potential shortfall. To date (April 2019 to March 2024), 1,868 dwellings have been completed against a requirement of 1,815 resulting in a surplus of 53 dwellings accrued since April 2019. This 'overdelivery' has been deducted from the plan's requirement over the next five years.
Determining an appropriate housing supply buffer
The National Planning Policy Framework (2024) (opens new window) (Paragraph 78) requires local planning authorities to apply an additional buffer of 5% or 20% to ensure choice and competition, or where there has been a significant underdelivery of housing, as measured against the Housing Delivery Test (HDT).
In December 2024 the Government published its most recently announced HDT results which demonstrated that the Council's housing delivery over the preceding three years (2020-21, 2021-2022, 2022-23) was 118% (accounting for corrections to the number of homes delivered and required to align with the annual average housing requirement and dwelling completions). This is beyond the 85% threshold whereby an automatic 20% buffer is applied through national policy; therefore the Council is only required by national policy to apply a 5% buffer to the housing requirement.
Calculating the five-year housing land supply requirement
The five-year housing land supply requirement is therefore calculated as being 1,850 new homes between April 2024 and March 2029. This is inclusive of the required 5% housing buffer. This calculation is set out in Table 1 below:
Calculation codes | Five-year housing land supply component | Number of dwellings |
---|---|---|
A | Five-year housing supply target (5 times 363) | 1,815 |
B | Housing surplus | 53 |
C | 5% buffer ((A minus B) times 5%) | 88 (rounded) |
D | Total five-year supply target ((A minus B) plus C) | 1,850 |